CF Dumbría vs Sporting Estrada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
12.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Dumbría
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
DUM
0 - 2
PUE
52%
22%
26%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
EST
1 - 1
DUM
25%
23%
52%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
BER
0 - 3
DUM
43%
23%
34%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
DUM
2 - 2
VCC
73%
16%
12%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
PRA
2 - 3
DUM
26%
24%
51%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Estrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
EST
3 - 1
BAY
54%
22%
24%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
PUE
1 - 1
EST
77%
15%
8%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
NEG
5 - 0
EST
79%
13%
8%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
EST
1 - 0
EST
38%
23%
39%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
EST
0 - 3
CAL
50%
22%
29%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |