CF Damm Sub 19 vs Mercantil Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
16.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+70%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
3º
8º
4º
20
11º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 74 |
1º
|
65% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 69 |
2º
|
54.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 63 |
3º
|
57% | |
|
|
4º
|
38 | 59 |
4º
|
60.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 54 |
5º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 42 |
6º
|
37.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 42 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 39 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 37 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 37 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 33 |
11º
|
22% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 31 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
20 | 31 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 27 |
14º
|
40.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 22 |
15º
|
61.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 14 |
16º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
82.5% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
17% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 56% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 44% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Damm Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
ZAR
1 - 1
CFD
52%
23%
26%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
CFD
2 - 2
GIR
50%
23%
26%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
CDS
0 - 1
CFD
34%
25%
41%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
CFS
0 - 1
CFD
23%
23%
54%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
CFD
4 - 1
CFB
50%
23%
27%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Mercantil Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CEM
2 - 1
CFS
58%
21%
21%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
CFB
1 - 2
CEM
59%
20%
21%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
CEM
1 - 0
HUE
35%
24%
41%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
ATB
0 - 2
CEM
60%
21%
19%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CEM
2 - 4
FCB
12%
16%
72%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | -1 |