Cracks vs Atl. Villar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
9.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cracks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 4
CRA
39%
22%
39%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CRA
2 - 0
RIB
65%
18%
16%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 4
CRA
19%
20%
61%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
CRA
3 - 1
CLU
53%
22%
25%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
CRA
3 - 1
VIL
58%
20%
22%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Villar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 1
LLI
37%
23%
40%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
VIL
5 - 7
VIL
58%
20%
22%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 6
MIS
17%
20%
62%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
ANT
6 - 2
VIL
73%
16%
11%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
CAS
2 - 0
VIL
16%
19%
66%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | -2 |