Alfaro B vs Real Bethlehem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
22.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
-71%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfaro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
AGO
3 - 1
CFC
77%
15%
8%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
CFC
3 - 0
NAX
48%
22%
30%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
CFC
1 - 0
RAC
79%
12%
8%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
SPO
3 - 1
CFC
10%
14%
77%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
CFC
4 - 1
CDA
54%
20%
26%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Real Bethlehem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
RBF
3 - 1
TDN
73%
15%
13%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
RBF
3 - 1
CAL
41%
23%
36%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
NAX
2 - 1
RBF
54%
21%
25%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
RAC
1 - 2
RBF
31%
22%
48%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
RBF
3 - 0
SPO
67%
17%
17%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | +1 |