Alfaro B vs CD San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
13.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfaro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
AUT
2 - 2
CFC
72%
17%
11%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
CFC
1 - 1
REB
11%
16%
73%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
TED
2 - 0
CFC
63%
20%
18%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CFC
2 - 2
ALB
39%
24%
37%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
RRF
2 - 2
CFC
19%
19%
62%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
CDS
0 - 2
COM
17%
19%
65%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
ILO
2 - 2
CDS
37%
22%
41%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CDS
3 - 2
MAR
15%
18%
67%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
AUT
4 - 1
CDS
81%
13%
6%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CDS
3 - 5
REB
8%
14%
77%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | 0 |