Alfaro B vs Calasancio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
42.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+333%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfaro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SPO
4 - 1
CFC
62%
18%
21%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CFC
1 - 1
RBF
26%
21%
53%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
VAR
4 - 0
CFC
78%
13%
9%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
REB
3 - 1
CFC
81%
13%
6%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CFC
0 - 1
TDN
58%
19%
23%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Calasancio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 2
VIL
10%
16%
74%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SPO
0 - 1
CAL
70%
17%
14%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CAL
0 - 0
CDB
20%
20%
60%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
CAL
87%
10%
4%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 0
ILO
54%
22%
24%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | +1 |