Alfaro B vs Calasancio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
56.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-72%
+78%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfaro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CFC
0 - 5
TED
6%
13%
81%
|
8 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
PRA
5 - 1
CFC
86%
10%
4%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
CFC
1 - 2
RAP
9%
15%
75%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
RBF
0 - 3
CFC
47%
20%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CFC
1 - 3
VAR
12%
17%
71%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Calasancio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SPO
0 - 3
CAL
21%
22%
57%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CAL
2 - 4
MAR
29%
24%
47%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ALD
0 - 2
CAL
80%
13%
8%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 2
CEN
32%
25%
43%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CDA
3 - 1
CAL
53%
22%
26%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |