Castellnovo vs Estivella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.1%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
80.8%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.6%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.7%
0-5
4.4%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.4%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-76%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellnovo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
0 - 4
SEG
10%
17%
73%
|
8 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ART
5 - 0
CAS
41%
22%
38%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
3 - 1
BEN
61%
19%
20%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 1
NUL
21%
21%
59%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 1
FAU
10%
14%
77%
|
6 | 15 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Estivella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CLU
0 - 3
EST
29%
20%
51%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
EST
1 - 1
FAU
53%
20%
27%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ALQ
4 - 3
EST
39%
21%
40%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
EST
8 - 0
VIV
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
DRC
2 - 6
EST
13%
15%
73%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | +1 |