Castellnovo vs Faura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.5%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
76.8%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
16.4%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.5%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.6%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-76%
+185%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellnovo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
CLU
4 - 1
CAS
78%
13%
9%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
ALQ
5 - 1
CAS
85%
10%
5%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 1
VIV
48%
21%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
DRC
2 - 2
CAS
42%
20%
38%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 1
LLO
63%
18%
20%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Faura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
FAU
4 - 2
BEN
88%
8%
4%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
FAU
2 - 1
CLU
55%
19%
26%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
FAU
3 - 0
NUL
39%
22%
39%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ALQ
4 - 1
FAU
63%
18%
19%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
FAU
5 - 0
VIV
74%
14%
11%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |