Castellnovo vs Nules B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
58.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-76%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellnovo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 1
FAU
10%
14%
77%
|
6 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
CLU
4 - 1
CAS
78%
13%
9%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
ALQ
5 - 1
CAS
85%
10%
5%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 1
VIV
48%
21%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
DRC
2 - 2
CAS
42%
20%
38%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nules B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
NUL
1 - 2
ODI
46%
22%
32%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CLU
1 - 1
NUL
42%
22%
37%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
NUL
3 - 1
QVA
53%
21%
26%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
FAU
3 - 0
NUL
39%
22%
39%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ALQ
4 - 3
NUL
51%
21%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |