Castalla vs Biarense A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.1%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.5%
4.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-79%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
AGO
4 - 0
CAS
43%
21%
36%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
6 - 1
UDL
60%
20%
20%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
CAS
4 - 1
ASP
69%
17%
14%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
NUC
0 - 2
CAS
12%
14%
74%
|
17 | 6 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 1
PEA
67%
17%
16%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Biarense A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
BIA
0 - 3
ELC
18%
19%
64%
|
6 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
PEA
2 - 1
BIA
56%
20%
24%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ATL
7 - 1
BIA
71%
16%
14%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
BIA
2 - 2
MON
28%
20%
51%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
RAY
7 - 1
BIA
74%
15%
11%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | 0 |