CF Benfica vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
40.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
FAT
1 - 2
CFB
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CFB
2 - 2
MAF
22%
26%
51%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
1DE
2 - 0
CFB
57%
23%
21%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CFB
1 - 0
CAR
33%
25%
42%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
QUA
1 - 0
CFB
44%
24%
33%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SER
1 - 1
UDL
26%
26%
48%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
RIB
0 - 0
SER
27%
25%
48%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
SER
2 - 0
CAS
41%
25%
33%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
LOU
3 - 1
SER
32%
26%
42%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ORI
2 - 3
SER
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |