CF Benfica vs Carregado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
42.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
QUA
1 - 0
CFB
44%
24%
33%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CFB
0 - 1
FAR
15%
24%
61%
|
38 | 66 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CFB
2 - 5
TOR
20%
23%
58%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
OEI
1 - 2
CFB
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
CFB
1 - 0
PIN
35%
26%
39%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Carregado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 2
UDL
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
RIB
1 - 3
CAR
34%
25%
41%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CAS
1 - 1
CAR
56%
24%
20%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 2
LOU
70%
18%
13%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
FAT
39%
24%
37%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |