Baltanás vs Carrion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
12.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+118%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baltanás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 3
VIL
32%
22%
46%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BAL
3 - 1
CDF
29%
21%
50%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
VDB
3 - 1
BAL
64%
19%
17%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BAL
3 - 2
GRI
71%
16%
14%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
BAL
24%
21%
56%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Carrion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
MON
14%
17%
70%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
5 - 3
CAR
43%
21%
37%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
JOP
5 - 3
CAR
38%
22%
40%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CAS
4 - 1
CAR
45%
21%
34%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 0
CAR
72%
15%
13%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |