Deportivo Pacense vs AD Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
47.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Pacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
PUE
3 - 1
DPC
30%
25%
45%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
DPC
3 - 1
VAL
62%
21%
17%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
EXT
4 - 0
DPC
70%
19%
12%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
DPC
0 - 1
AZU
71%
17%
12%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 1
DPC
25%
25%
50%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
AD Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MAD
1 - 0
SAM
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
COR
1 - 0
MAD
36%
24%
40%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
MAD
2 - 0
DBN
75%
16%
9%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
OLI
1 - 2
MAD
15%
22%
63%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MAD
3 - 0
UDF
81%
13%
6%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | 0 |