Deportivo Pacense vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
62.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Pacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
JER
1 - 0
DPC
48%
26%
26%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
DPC
0 - 2
MIA
65%
20%
15%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 1
DPC
24%
24%
52%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
DPC
3 - 0
VAL
69%
18%
13%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
DPC
4 - 1
PLA
53%
23%
25%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ARR
5 - 0
COR
79%
14%
8%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CPL
2 - 1
ARR
10%
19%
71%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ARR
8 - 2
PUE
83%
12%
5%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
SAM
0 - 1
ARR
12%
19%
69%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ARR
1 - 0
EXT
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |