Independiente Ceutí vs Santomera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
70%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Ceutí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CEU
0 - 1
VIL
28%
23%
49%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CEU
6 - 0
ATL
42%
23%
35%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CCS
5 - 0
CEU
87%
9%
4%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CEU
1 - 1
CLU
35%
24%
41%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ATL
0 - 1
CEU
58%
20%
22%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Santomera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SAN
4 - 1
JUM
84%
11%
5%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CLU
2 - 2
SAN
36%
23%
41%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
PAL
60%
20%
20%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 0
SAN
30%
23%
47%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 0
ATL
87%
9%
4%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |