Independiente Ceutí vs Unión Molinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
32.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Ceutí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
CEU
2 - 0
ABA
10%
16%
75%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
JUV
1 - 2
CEU
19%
21%
60%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
MME
2 - 0
CEU
72%
16%
12%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
CEU
1 - 2
RAA
47%
23%
30%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
CLU
1 - 1
CEU
67%
18%
15%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Molinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
MSM
0 - 3
CAR
33%
23%
45%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
CDT
0 - 2
MSM
42%
24%
34%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
MSM
0 - 1
BAL
34%
23%
43%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
ABA
2 - 0
MSM
72%
16%
12%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
MSM
1 - 2
MME
49%
22%
29%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |