Independiente Ceutí vs CD Beniel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
20%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-61%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Ceutí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CMU
1 - 2
CEU
28%
22%
50%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CEU
4 - 0
CEU
66%
18%
16%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
LCO
2 - 2
CEU
67%
17%
16%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CEU
2 - 1
COT
15%
17%
68%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
UAR
5 - 1
CEU
81%
12%
7%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
CD Beniel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CDB
1 - 3
JUM
50%
21%
29%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 1
CDB
82%
12%
6%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CDB
2 - 3
VIL
50%
22%
28%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ATL
3 - 4
CDB
30%
21%
49%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CDB
0 - 1
EEP
51%
22%
27%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |