Cesson vs Saint-Pierre Milizac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
60%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
11º
14º
13º
7
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 55 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 54 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 50 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 49 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
|
3º
|
7 | 42 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 37 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 36 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 33 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 31 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 28 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
5 | 25 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
1 | 23 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 17 |
14º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
20.5% | 88% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
68.5% | 4% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
GUI
2 - 0
CES
76%
14%
10%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CES
1 - 1
FLE
35%
22%
43%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CES
0 - 1
AFV
15%
17%
68%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CES
0 - 1
VIT
18%
18%
64%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
CES
1 - 5
LOC
35%
23%
43%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Saint-Pierre Milizac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SPM
3 - 1
AFV
33%
25%
43%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PON
2 - 2
SPM
26%
22%
52%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SPM
3 - 0
VAN
47%
22%
31%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SPM
2 - 2
VIT
34%
26%
41%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ERG
0 - 3
SPM
19%
20%
61%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | +1 |