Cesson vs Pontivy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
23.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
4º
11º
9º
30
1º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
7º
|
64% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
8º
|
78.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 31 |
9º
|
78.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
80% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
67% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
66% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 22 |
14º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 80% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 20% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
DIN
1 - 0
CES
71%
16%
13%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CES
1 - 0
SPM
27%
22%
52%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
USF
1 - 1
CES
68%
17%
15%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MON
1 - 2
CES
32%
23%
45%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CES
0 - 1
BRE
49%
21%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Pontivy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
PON
0 - 3
MON
57%
22%
20%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
BRE
1 - 1
PON
48%
23%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
PON
2 - 0
SBR
34%
22%
44%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LOC
1 - 1
PON
47%
24%
29%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PON
0 - 0
PLA
19%
21%
60%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +1 |