Cesson vs FC Flérien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
42.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
11º
14º
13º
3
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 55 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 54 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 50 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 49 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 42 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 37 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 36 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 33 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
3 | 31 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 28 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
5 | 25 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
1 | 23 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 17 |
14º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
20.5% | 50% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11% | 17.5% |
|
Relegation
|
68.5% | 32.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CES
0 - 1
AFV
15%
17%
68%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CES
0 - 1
VIT
18%
18%
64%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
CES
1 - 5
LOC
35%
23%
43%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
PLA
2 - 3
CES
59%
20%
22%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SBR
3 - 2
CES
41%
23%
37%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FC Flérien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FLE
1 - 1
LOR
21%
23%
55%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FLE
2 - 0
CHA
47%
22%
31%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
AGC
2 - 1
FLE
51%
21%
29%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FLE
1 - 1
OIS
59%
20%
21%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
VHO
1 - 1
FLE
53%
20%
26%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |