Cesson vs AF Virois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
68%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
11º
14º
13º
3
4º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 55 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 54 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 50 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
3 | 49 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 42 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 37 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 36 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 33 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 31 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 28 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
5 | 25 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
1 | 23 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 17 |
14º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 8.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
20.5% | 90% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
68.5% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CES
0 - 1
VIT
18%
18%
64%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
CES
1 - 5
LOC
35%
23%
43%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
PLA
2 - 3
CES
59%
20%
22%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SBR
3 - 2
CES
41%
23%
37%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
CES
4 - 0
DOL
64%
19%
18%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AF Virois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
AFV
2 - 0
VIT
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
AFV
3 - 0
USF
68%
19%
14%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
AFV
2 - 0
SAI
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ASB
6 - 2
AFV
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
AFV
2 - 3
FBB
41%
26%
34%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |