Cesena U17 vs Carrarese sub 17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.2%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.3%
4.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+198%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
3º
12º
4º
9
8º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 57 |
1º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 48 |
2º
|
63% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 46 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
|
4º
|
25 | 39 |
4º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 37 |
5º
|
31% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 37 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 33 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 29 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 28 |
9º
|
23% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 26 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 23 |
11º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
9 | 14 |
12º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 11 |
13º
|
74% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
JUV
2 - 0
CES
68%
16%
16%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
BRE
1 - 1
CES
12%
16%
72%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | +12 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
CES
0 - 3
INT
15%
19%
67%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
ATA
5 - 1
CES
84%
10%
6%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
CES
0 - 1
CHI
43%
23%
35%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Carrarese sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 5
GEN
11%
16%
73%
|
8 | 37 | 29 | 0 |