Cesarense vs UD Oliveirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
46.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
COI
2 - 2
CES
62%
22%
16%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MOI
1 - 0
CES
34%
23%
43%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CES
1 - 2
CIN
41%
27%
32%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 1
CES
74%
17%
9%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 0
CES
41%
27%
32%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
UD Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 0
SOU
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 5
EST
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -3 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
GON
5 - 1
OLI
26%
26%
49%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 0
SAL
14%
26%
61%
|
42 | 68 | 26 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
OLI
0 - 2
SAN
37%
25%
38%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |