Cesarense vs Trofense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CES
3 - 2
ADM
50%
22%
28%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
SOU
0 - 1
CES
39%
26%
36%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
CES
1 - 0
GON
40%
27%
33%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
FAV
0 - 1
CES
15%
18%
67%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
SAL
2 - 2
CES
76%
16%
8%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
TRO
0 - 1
SIN
27%
26%
47%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
TRO
1 - 0
SCF
18%
26%
56%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
GAN
1 - 2
TRO
45%
22%
34%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
TRO
1 - 0
ARO
47%
23%
30%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
SOU
1 - 0
TRO
43%
24%
33%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |