Cesarense vs Sousense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
GON
1 - 0
CES
44%
27%
30%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CES
2 - 2
SAL
26%
27%
48%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CES
2 - 0
AMA
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
CES
50%
25%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
CES
1 - 1
PED
57%
24%
19%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Sousense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
SOU
0 - 1
SCF
12%
22%
66%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
TRO
2 - 0
SOU
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
SOU
1 - 0
GAN
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
GON
3 - 1
SOU
63%
22%
15%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
SOU
0 - 3
SAL
11%
22%
68%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | -1 |