Cesarense vs AD Sanjoanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
52%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
CES
4 - 2
SOU
30%
26%
44%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
EST
1 - 2
CES
61%
22%
17%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
CES
1 - 0
GON
25%
26%
49%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 0
CES
80%
14%
6%
|
35 | 66 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CES
1 - 1
OLI
30%
24%
47%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
AD Sanjoanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 2
OLI
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
SOU
2 - 1
SAN
21%
24%
55%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
EST
4 - 2
SAN
81%
15%
5%
|
50 | 79 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
COI
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
EST
1 - 3
SAN
36%
26%
39%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |