Cesarense vs AD Sanjoanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
52.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
BUS
0 - 0
CES
32%
25%
43%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
CES
2 - 0
BUS
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
CES
3 - 1
OFR
61%
20%
19%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
EST
2 - 0
CES
62%
22%
16%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
LUS
1 - 1
CES
53%
24%
23%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
AD Sanjoanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 0
GAF
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
GAF
1 - 1
SAN
19%
23%
58%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 0
MOR
74%
17%
9%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ANA
2 - 1
SAN
34%
25%
40%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
LUS
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |