Cesarense vs Operário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
40.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CES
0 - 1
ESP
18%
23%
59%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ANA
0 - 1
CES
66%
19%
15%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CES
0 - 2
SAO
41%
24%
36%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ACV
1 - 1
CES
77%
16%
7%
|
34 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CES
0 - 4
INF
66%
19%
15%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
OPE
1 - 2
ANA
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 2
OPE
45%
25%
30%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
OPE
0 - 3
CAL
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -4 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
TOC
1 - 1
OPE
32%
26%
42%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
OPE
1 - 3
GON
29%
28%
44%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |