Cesarense vs Mortágua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
29.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
LUS
2 - 1
CES
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CES
1 - 0
OLI
71%
17%
12%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CES
1 - 1
LUS
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
GAF
1 - 1
CES
33%
24%
42%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CES
2 - 1
SAN
24%
23%
52%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MOR
3 - 0
GAF
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
MOR
67%
20%
13%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 0
BUS
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
LUS
0 - 1
MOR
51%
23%
27%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
LUS
0 - 0
MOR
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |