Cesarense vs Moimenta da Beira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
18.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
MOR
4 - 3
CES
37%
27%
36%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CES
1 - 4
EST
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
GOU
2 - 4
CES
21%
21%
58%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ANA
0 - 1
CES
56%
23%
20%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CES
0 - 0
GON
44%
26%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Moimenta da Beira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
MOI
2 - 1
EST
18%
19%
63%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ANA
3 - 2
MOI
75%
16%
9%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
MOI
0 - 1
RDA
26%
22%
52%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
MOI
3 - 4
MOR
25%
22%
53%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
GOU
0 - 3
MOI
47%
22%
31%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |