Cesarense vs Leça FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
6.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 1
CES
23%
23%
55%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
AMA
3 - 1
CES
56%
24%
21%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
CES
1 - 2
CIN
59%
24%
17%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 1
CES
56%
23%
21%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
CES
2 - 2
MAR
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Leça FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
LEC
0 - 2
LUS
13%
20%
67%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 1
LEC
66%
18%
16%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
LEC
2 - 0
PAR
19%
24%
57%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +3 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CIN
0 - 0
LEC
80%
14%
6%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
LEC
0 - 1
ESP
11%
20%
69%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | -1 |