Cesarense vs Gondomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
30%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
CES
2 - 2
RDA
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
MOI
1 - 2
CES
23%
22%
55%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CES
2 - 1
MOR
40%
26%
34%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
EST
1 - 1
CES
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CES
4 - 0
GOU
52%
22%
26%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Gondomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
MOI
1 - 1
GON
20%
22%
58%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
GON
1 - 0
EST
41%
26%
33%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ANA
2 - 0
GON
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
GON
2 - 0
RDA
50%
25%
25%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 1
GON
39%
27%
34%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |