Cesarense vs Gondomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
49%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 0
CES
80%
14%
6%
|
34 | 65 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CES
1 - 1
OLI
30%
24%
47%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
COI
2 - 2
CES
62%
22%
16%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MOI
1 - 0
CES
34%
23%
43%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CES
1 - 2
CIN
41%
27%
32%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Gondomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
GON
1 - 1
SOU
56%
24%
21%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
EST
1 - 3
GON
56%
24%
20%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
GON
4 - 0
SAN
20%
24%
56%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +4 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SAL
0 - 0
GON
80%
15%
5%
|
38 | 66 | 28 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
GON
5 - 1
OLI
26%
26%
49%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +2 |