Cesarense vs Cinfães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
17.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 1
CES
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
CES
2 - 2
MAR
49%
25%
26%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
LUS
4 - 1
CES
58%
23%
19%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
CES
2 - 2
RDA
55%
24%
20%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
CES
48%
25%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cinfães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CIN
0 - 0
LEC
80%
14%
6%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
PEN
1 - 2
CIN
42%
24%
34%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
CIN
1 - 2
PAR
58%
23%
19%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
CIN
1 - 0
SPO
89%
8%
3%
|
35 | 10 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 0
CIN
55%
24%
22%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |