Cesarense vs Cinfães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
46.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
TOU
1 - 0
CES
61%
21%
18%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
CES
0 - 1
BUS
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 1
CES
42%
24%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CES
2 - 2
BEN
28%
24%
48%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
PAM
3 - 1
CES
44%
23%
32%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Cinfães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
CIN
2 - 0
ANA
46%
25%
30%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 1
CIN
37%
25%
37%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
CIN
1 - 0
ACV
27%
27%
47%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
TOC
1 - 3
CIN
24%
23%
53%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CIN
3 - 0
COI
49%
25%
27%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |