Cesarense vs Bustelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
23.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 1
CES
42%
24%
33%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CES
2 - 2
BEN
28%
24%
48%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
PAM
3 - 1
CES
44%
23%
32%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CES
0 - 0
ADN
53%
23%
24%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
LUS
2 - 1
CES
43%
24%
34%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bustelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
BUS
1 - 2
ANA
29%
24%
47%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 1
BUS
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
BUS
0 - 0
ACV
20%
24%
57%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
TOC
0 - 1
BUS
46%
24%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
BUS
2 - 2
COI
31%
24%
45%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |