Cesarense vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
65.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
CIN
0 - 2
CES
67%
19%
14%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
CES
1 - 4
ESP
12%
23%
66%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 2
CES
69%
19%
12%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
CES
0 - 4
LUS
15%
24%
61%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
RDA
1 - 0
CES
69%
19%
12%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
AMA
2 - 1
GAF
68%
20%
12%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
COI
2 - 1
AMA
27%
26%
47%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
AMA
1 - 0
PAR
77%
16%
7%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
LUS
2 - 1
AMA
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
AMA
7 - 1
PED
58%
24%
18%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |