Cesarense vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
39.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
CES
50%
25%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
CES
1 - 1
PED
57%
24%
19%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
COI
2 - 2
CES
36%
26%
38%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
CES
1 - 1
ESP
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CAN
1 - 1
CES
24%
25%
50%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
AMA
2 - 0
SCF
27%
26%
46%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
TRO
0 - 2
AMA
20%
25%
55%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
AMA
0 - 0
SOU
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
GON
3 - 0
AMA
27%
27%
47%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
AMA
2 - 1
SAL
25%
27%
48%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +1 |