Cesarense vs Camacha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
22.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
LUS
3 - 1
CES
54%
24%
22%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
CES
1 - 0
GAF
47%
25%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
GOU
0 - 4
CES
32%
24%
44%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
BOA
3 - 0
CES
70%
18%
11%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
CES
1 - 5
VSC
26%
25%
50%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Camacha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CAM
0 - 0
SAN
18%
22%
61%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ESP
0 - 0
CAM
54%
23%
23%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
LUS
1 - 1
CAM
63%
21%
16%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
CAM
0 - 1
EST
47%
24%
30%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
LOU
0 - 3
CAM
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +3 |