Cerveira vs Sporting Braga II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
71.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerveira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MON
4 - 2
CER
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CER
1 - 3
MER
24%
22%
55%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -2 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CAM
0 - 2
CER
20%
20%
60%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CER
2 - 1
SMA
10%
20%
70%
|
23 | 49 | 26 | +5 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
UNM
4 - 0
CER
80%
13%
7%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Braga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
BRA
2 - 3
VSC
45%
24%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
FAF
2 - 1
BRA
45%
26%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 3
VIZ
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 1
BRA
16%
22%
63%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
BRA
3 - 0
PED
86%
10%
4%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |