Cerveira vs AR São Martinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
70.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
15.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerveira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
UNM
4 - 0
CER
80%
13%
7%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
CER
2 - 2
BRA
31%
23%
46%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
ADO
2 - 2
CER
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
CER
2 - 5
CHA
19%
19%
62%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
CER
1 - 2
BSC
15%
18%
67%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
AR São Martinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 2
SMA
14%
22%
64%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
SMA
4 - 1
CHA
72%
17%
11%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
SMA
1 - 1
BSC
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
SMA
2 - 1
FAF
36%
29%
36%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
VSC
2 - 3
SMA
66%
21%
14%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |