Cerveira vs Montalegre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
61.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
9%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerveira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
CER
0 - 2
ORI
19%
21%
60%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
CER
0 - 0
MER
14%
18%
68%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CER
2 - 0
BRI
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 8 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
MIR
2 - 0
CER
61%
20%
19%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
PED
3 - 0
CER
63%
19%
18%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Montalegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
MON
3 - 1
VCO
65%
19%
17%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
MON
0 - 2
MIR
58%
22%
21%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 2
MON
53%
22%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
PED
0 - 0
MON
39%
24%
37%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MER
1 - 1
MON
57%
23%
20%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |