Cerveira vs Berco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
66.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerveira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
CER
1 - 1
MAR
17%
19%
64%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
FAF
2 - 0
CER
85%
11%
4%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
CER
1 - 0
VSC
6%
14%
80%
|
24 | 53 | 29 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
VIZ
6 - 1
CER
87%
10%
3%
|
24 | 57 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
CER
0 - 1
PED
24%
21%
55%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Berco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
BRA
1 - 2
BSC
29%
22%
49%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
BSC
2 - 1
ADO
59%
20%
22%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
UNM
1 - 3
BSC
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
BSC
1 - 1
CHA
64%
18%
18%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
BSC
2 - 0
VSC
11%
18%
71%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | +2 |