Cerro de Reyes vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
43.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro de Reyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 0
CER
57%
23%
19%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
CER
1 - 2
CPC
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
UBC
1 - 1
CER
57%
23%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
CER
1 - 1
RAC
56%
22%
22%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ATB
2 - 1
CER
61%
22%
16%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
LUG
2 - 2
DEP
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
CDO
0 - 0
LUG
25%
24%
50%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2010 |
LUG
0 - 0
CEL
22%
24%
54%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2010 |
PON
0 - 1
LUG
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
LUG
0 - 1
SES
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |