Cerro Porteño vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1990 |
CCP
3 - 1
GRE
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1990 |
OLI
2 - 1
CCP
61%
22%
18%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 1988 |
CCP
3 - 2
BOL
54%
24%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 1988 |
CCP
1 - 0
OPE
62%
21%
18%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1988 |
OLI
1 - 0
CCP
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1990 |
OLI
2 - 1
VAS
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1990 |
GRE
2 - 0
VAS
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1989 |
SAO
0 - 1
VAS
65%
22%
14%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1989 |
SCI
0 - 2
VAS
53%
27%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
COR
0 - 1
VAS
49%
28%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |