Cerro Porteño vs Universitario de Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
22.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1991 |
CCP
3 - 0
SBO
66%
19%
15%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1991 |
UNI
1 - 1
CCP
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1991 |
SBO
1 - 3
CCP
45%
24%
31%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1991 |
CCP
1 - 1
CAC
62%
21%
18%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1991 |
CAC
1 - 1
CCP
45%
24%
31%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1991 |
CAC
2 - 0
UNI
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1991 |
UNI
1 - 1
CCP
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1991 |
UNI
0 - 0
CAC
67%
18%
14%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1991 |
UNI
1 - 3
SBO
71%
17%
12%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1991 |
SBO
0 - 2
UNI
40%
24%
37%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |