Cerro Porteño vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2001 |
LIB
1 - 1
CCP
48%
24%
29%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2001 |
BOC
0 - 0
CCP
66%
20%
15%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2001 |
LQE
1 - 3
CCP
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2001 |
CCP
3 - 0
LQE
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
CCP
2 - 1
LIB
58%
22%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2001 |
UCO
2 - 0
ACS
66%
20%
15%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2001 |
UCO
2 - 1
VAS
29%
25%
47%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2001 |
UCO
1 - 1
COL
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2001 |
SAN
2 - 2
UCO
28%
25%
47%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2001 |
UCO
2 - 0
CON
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |