Cerro Porteño vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
26.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1967 |
CCP
0 - 1
COL
54%
21%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1967 |
CCP
1 - 2
BSC
56%
20%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1967 |
CCP
1 - 1
EME
55%
20%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1967 |
UCO
3 - 1
CCP
59%
21%
21%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1967 |
COL
5 - 1
CCP
56%
21%
23%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1967 |
GUA
1 - 1
UCO
56%
21%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1967 |
NAC
0 - 0
UCO
65%
18%
16%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1967 |
UCO
3 - 1
BSC
60%
20%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1967 |
UCO
1 - 2
EME
62%
20%
18%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1967 |
UCO
3 - 1
CCP
59%
21%
21%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |